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Latest Insights

Delayed decisions mean investors can cheer markets on

Weekly Investment View – 17 February 2019

Investors can breathe easy as Brexit and new US tariffs on Chinese products are delayed. However, President Trump’s wall decision could pave the way for trouble when the US hits the debt ceiling.

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GCC Fixed Income Establishing solid foundations for 2019

23 January 2019

The GCC fixed income market has experienced a solid start to 2019, both in terms of primary and secondary market performance. We expect this trend to continue as global macro uncertainties further highlight and enhance the relative value appeal of the GCC asset class’ strong underlying fundamentals, making an interesting and compelling case for continued capital investment flows in favour of this region and asset class.

Simon Ballard
Exec. Director & Macro Strategist

Rakesh Sahu,
Analyst – Market Insights & Strategy

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GCC Fixed Income Chart Book: FY 2019

10 January 2019

Our full year review of the GCC bond and sukuk markets provides a quick snapshot of new issuance, secondary market performance, and some key stories - all in a chart book format.

Chavan Bhogaita, Head of Market Insights & Strategy
Rakesh Sahu, Analyst – Market Insights & Strategy

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KSA first off the line in 2019!

9 January 2019

The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia recently announced a new dual tranche US$ transaction.
In this report you will find our initial thoughts on the deal, which represents the inaugural GCC Eurobond offering of 2019.

Chavan Bhogaita, Head of Market Insights & Strategy
Rakesh Sahu, Analyst, Market Insights & Strategy

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2019 Risk Outlook – ‘ V for Volatility’

Hot Topics – 02 January 2019

Our suggestions on which potentially major geopolitical and market related risks investors should be keeping an eye on in 2019.

Glenn Wepener & Simon Ballard
Market Insights & Strategy

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Macro Strategy.. pre-FED analysis

Macro Strategy – 20 December 2018

Ahead of the FOMC’s December rate decision , Simon Ballard, FAB Macro Strategist spoke to CNBC about his current outlook for U.S. monetary policy and that of the broader global macroeconomic situation.

Simon Ballard
Exec. Director & Macro Strategist

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First Abu Dhabi Bank vs Peer Banks

FAB vs Peer banks - 12 December 2018

In this periodic report FAB’s Market Insights & Strategy team analyses how FAB compares versus its main peer banks in the GCC as well as Western and Eastern parts of the world. The report shows how these banks stack up against each other on various factual metrics such as credit ratings, CDS spread, capital adequacy, return on equity, return on assets, etc.

Rakesh Sahu, Analyst, Market Insights & Strategy
Chavan Bhogaita, Head of Market Insights & Strategy

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Oil Market Outlook 2019 and Beyond

28 November2018

The outlook for oil has become somewhat more difficult to judge especially in the longer term. In this interview with Refintiv, FAB oil and geopolitical strategist Glenn Wepener discusses the crude market’s recovery since 2016 and what to look out for in the years ahead.

Glenn Wepener
Executive Director, Market Insights & Strategy 

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Brexit Update: Still a clear and present danger

Hot topics – 22 November 2018

More than just the pure economic arguments, for and against Brexit, that have driven the narrative over the past two years, it is now political uncertainty that is weighing most heavily on U.K. risk asset, and currency, sentiment. We believe that the Brexit polemic is about to get even more interesting.

Simon Ballard
Exec. Director & Macro Strategist

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First Abu Dhabi Bank vs Peer Banks

FAB vs Peer Banks– 22 October 2018

In this periodic report FAB’s Market Insights & Strategy team analyses how FAB compares versus its main peer banks in the GCC as well as Western and Eastern parts of the world. The report shows how these banks stack up against each other on various factual metrics such as credit ratings, CDS spread, capital adequacy, return on equity, return on assets, etc.

Rakesh Sahu, Analyst, Market Insights & Strategy
Chavan Bhogaita, Head of Market Insights & Strategy

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Wage growth: A clear and present danger

Macro Strategy – 22 October 2018

The prospect of wage growth may figure high in a consumer happiness index, but it could also give central banks the excuse to call an end to the monetary accommodation party and increase the pace of interest rates increase. In this publication we consider the risk that escalating wage growth pressures, fueled by tightening in global labour market conditions, could prove to be a clear and present danger for the outlook for the global rates market.   

Simon Ballard, Exec. Director & Macro Strategist

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GCC Fixed Income Chart Book: 9M 2018

17 October 2018

Our quarterly review of GCC bond and sukuk markets provides a quick snapshot of new issuance, secondary market performance, and some key stories such as the Bahrain sovereign situation - all in a chart book format.

Rakesh Sahu, Analyst, Market Insights & Strategy
Chavan Bhogaita, Head of Market Insights & Strategy
 

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Ethiopia: An East African ‘Renaissance’ Story

Hot topics –16 October 2018

Ethiopia’s economic growth continues to be impressive and the initial steps taken by the country’s young and energetic Prime Minister have already borne fruit both internally and externally. However some political and economic challenges remain which we discuss within our latest review of the country.

Glenn Wepener
Executive Director & Geopolitical Analyst Middle East & Africa

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