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Oil Barrels Along

Hot Topics – 9 November 2017

Those of you who have been following our oil market commentaries for the past 12 to 18 months will already be aware of our optimistic outlook for crude prices since WTI dipped briefly below US$30 a barrel back in February 2016, and which we suggested was likely to be the bottom for this latest major cycle. Since then the market has staged a pretty respectable recovery but is there room to go further?

Glenn Wepener, Executive Director & Geopolitical Analyst Middle East & Africa

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GCC Fixed Income Chart Book: Q3 2017 Review

12 October 2017

FAB’s market insights team published their quarterly review of GCC bond and sukuk markets for Q3 2017.

Chavan Bhogaita, Head of Market Insights & Strategy
Rakesh Sahu, Analyst – Market Insights & Strategy

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Bahrain prints $3bn deal - Anyone still doubting investor demand?

Hot Topics – 14 September 2017

Bahrain’s successful $3bn three-tranche sovereign transaction shows pretty clearly that there is still substantial investor appetite for GCC paper. FAB’s Market Insights & Strategy team have produced a brief commentary on this deal.

Chavan Bhogaita, Head of Market Insights & Strategy
Rakesh Sahu, Analyst – Market Insights & Strategy

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Bahrain‘s new bond/sukuk combo – a good test of investor appetite?

Hot Topics – 13 September 2017

Following the Kingdom of Bahrain’s announcement of initial price talk for its 3-tranche bond and sukuk transaction, FAB’s Market Insights & Strategy team provides a quick overview of the deal along with some relative value analysis.

Chavan Bhogaita, Head of Market Insights & Strategy
Rakesh Sahu, Analyst – Market Insights & Strategy

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Take Two - Kenya’s Presidential Election To Be Re-run

Hot Topics – 04 September 2017

Markets have begun to reflect growing concerns over the potential for extended political turbulence in Kenya, after the country’s High Court declared the latest Presidential election’s results invalid and ordered fresh elections be held within the next two months, due to ‘illegalities’ around the electronic transmission of paper results. We expect pressure on Kenyan assets to continue in the near term, at least until the poll has been re-run.

Glenn Wepener, Executive Director & Geopolitical Analyst Middle East & Africa

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First Abu Dhabi Bank vs Peer Banks

02 August 2017

In this report FAB’s Market Insights & Strategy team provides a snapshot of how some of the world’s most prominent banks stack up against each other on the basis of some key parameters such as Return on Equity, Capital Adequacy, Credit Ratings, etc. A simple and factual comparison where the charts speak for themselves (...)

Chavan Bhogaita, Head of Market Insights & Strategy
Rakesh Sahu, Analyst – Market Insights & Strategy

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Off The Beaten Track

Hot Topics – 24 July 2017

Smaller Sub-Saharan countries such as Djibouti, Mauritius and Rwanda have made significant advances both politically and economically over the past few years, but do not quite get the same degree of limelight as the larger countries in Africa. While facing numerous and ongoing challenges, these economies highlight the true potential and hope for the world’s largest continent as well as dispel some of its myths.

Glenn Wepener, Executive Director & Geopolitical Analyst Middle East & Africa

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Egypt – Quiet Progress

Hot Topics – 18 June 2017

While a number of major geo-political events such as the ongoing investigation into Russian meddling of the US elections, sabre-rattling by North Korea, Brexit and the more recent Qatar dispute, continue to take-up much of the global media headlines and analysis, Egypt has quietly been making progress on the economic front since it floated the pound and signed up to an IMF program late last year.(...)

Glenn Wepener, Executive Director & Geopolitical Analyst Middle East & Africa

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VAT in the GCC

Hot Topics – 1 June 2017

A quick primer on the VAT implementation in the GCC. There is of course much more information yet to come in terms of VAT – such as the granular details about how and when it will be implemented in each of the Gulf states. Please watch this space for further updates in this regard.

Alp Eke, Senior Economist
Omar Abdulhadi, Associate Director & Analyst

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Oman Markets Its Debut US$ Sukuk Issue

Hot Topics – 23 May 2017

Following on from its successful bond issue in March, the Sultanate of Oman is now back in the debt capital market – this time selling a debut 7-year sukuk transaction. NBAD’s Market Insights team has published its initial thoughts and relative value analysis in the attached document

Chavan Bhogaita, Head of Market Insights & Strategy
Rakesh Sahu, Analyst – Market Insights & Strategy

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Words of War – The ‘Un’-doing Of North Korea

Hot Topics – 01 May 2017

In 1962 the world came the closest it’s yet been to a nuclear war, fortunately cool heads eventually prevailed both in the White House and Moscow as diplomacy overcame sabre-rattling and the rest of humanity breathed a huge sigh of relief. Now in 2017 are we facing another ‘missile crisis’ which, with very different personalities making decisions in Washington and Pyongyang compared to Kennedy and Khrushchev, has the potential to lead us down a road where diplomacy takes a back seat this time round?

Glenn Wepener, Executive Director & Geopolitical Analyst Middle East & Africa

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Saudi King orders Cabinet reshuffle & restores allowances

Hot Topics – 24 April 2017

The King of Saudi Arabia, Salman bin Abdulaziz, issued a number of decrees this past weekend including a reversal of certain austerity measures and a minor cabinet reshuffle.

Glenn Wepener, Executive Director & Geopolitical Analyst Middle East & Africa

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MENA and Global Markets Publications